Lets take a look at the actions of both Niall and Dave Sifry. Once the controversy developed both behaved perfectly rationally, choosing the path of least resistance and greatest common sense. Sifry acted as he did out of concern for the company hes painstakingly built; Kennedy acted as he did to preserve his reputation and good relationship with his employer. Since both chose the path of least resistance and greatest common sense, the outcome isnt an abberation - this is a dog bites man story, not the other way around. Yet the lessons Niall learned and eloquently communicated to all were undeniably conservative.
As the popularity of blogging, podcasting, video blogging, blog search, and so on grows, many more people will learn the same conservative lesson that Niall did. Some predictions for the future:
1) Blogging will provide an increasingly clear rewards for individual bloggers. Employers looking to hire will increasingly favor those with well-established blogs - all the better to learn about the proclivities and abilities of their candidates. Because of this, more and more people will publicly blog, using full names and accurate biographical information. Most individuals will happily surrender their privacy for a greater perceived benefit.
2) Since blogging will provide an increasingly clear benefit to the individual, the number of bloggers will mushroom. High school guidance counselors and college-based employment centers will begin giving blogging lessons. Career-minded young people will begin cultivating their blogs with the same diligence they currently give to the accumulation of community service and extracurricular activities.
3) Advice along the lines of Scobles will become commonplace. From USA Today to evening newscasts, individuals will be told about what is acceptable to blog and what is not acceptale to blog. The consequences of blogging inappropriately will become common wisdom.
4) Affairs like Nialls or Mark Jens will become commonplace, and therefore boring. Because proper blogging etiquette will have appeared from everywhere from USA Today to Oprah, the publics sympathy will lie less and less with the individual blogger, who should have known better.
5) A new generation of individuals, starting with the high school students of today, will automatically associate successful employment with blogging, and successful blogging with considered self-censorship and image management. Outwardly professed values will become internalized. Truly controversial stances and opinions will be suppressed for fear of real or imagined economic consequences.
6) The tipping point will be reached when radical groups and individuals stop embracing the Internet as a venue for organizing and start shutting themselves off from it - either hiding in access-controlled enclaves or abandoning online life and technology altogether.
No doubt Im exaggerating; perhaps Im missing something fundamental. If Internet 2.0 turns out to be a conservative force, it wont be because of the intentions of its creators. Yet who can fully predict the consequences of their actions and the uses of their creations? If I leaned left or libertarian, Id be worried.
1. David Collin on March 14, 2005 12:13 PM writes...
How about flipping this around? Suppose prospective employees asked, "What's your policy about blogging by employees?" Do they have a policy at all? Is it restrictive? How would they handle problems?
Maybe we bloggers need to start rating companies according to how "blog-friendly" they are. After all, if they discourage blogging, maybe they discourage candid communication of ideas as part of their culture. A prospective employee might want to take that into consideration before hiring on.
This reputation thing can cut both ways.
Permalink to Comment