Home > Get Real
Quote
"I can’t think of anything that demonstrates the sovereign nature of the self better than a blog.” - Doc Searls
About the Author
stowegold150x150.jpg
Stowe Boyd is a well-known media subversive, and an internationally recognized authority on real-time, collaborative and social technologies. His new blog is Message.

Shows
THE NEW VISIONARIES: REBOOTING THE WEB
[Starting in January!]
BEHIND THE SCENES
sponsored by GoToMeeting
› 24 Dec 2005: Behind The Scenes [next episode - postponed for Transit strike]
› 30 Nov 2005: Behind The Scenes at Behind The Scenes
PODCASTING ON WINDOWS
sponsored by GoToMeeting
› 29 Oct 2005: Video Podcasting
› 20 Oct 2005: Online Services
› 3 Oct 2005: Audio Editing
› 22 Sep 2005: Introduction to Podcasting
GET REAL SHOW
sponsored by GoToMeeting
› 3 Nov 2005: Interview with Eric Rice, Audioblog
› 31 Oct 2005: Interview with Rick Klau, Feedburner
› 29 Oct 2005: Interview with Lee Wilkins of Podcast.com
Recent Comments

Lucy on Reminder -- /Message

Janna on The Week Ahead

Elaine on Reminder -- /Message

Elaine on The Week Ahead

omaha hold em on Mary Jo Foley on Microsoft Needs To Say No To Web 2.0

morgan on John Cass on Nokia N90 Blogger Campaign

bobbie on Corante 2.0: Hubs In A Network Of Stars

tim on Get Real Minute 29 Nov 2005

tim on Get Real Minute: Blogon Highlight

tim on Get Real Minute: Blogon Highlight

Recent Trackbacks

penis enlargement: penis enlargement

online backgammon: online backgammon

Upskirt: Upskirt

Hot Teens: Hot Teens

from Jhony: :-)

from Jhony: :-)

poker online: poker online

from Jhony: :-)

from Jhony: :-)

from Jhony: :-)

Group Voices

Many 2 Many -- Liz Lawley, Ross Mayfield, David Weinberger, danah boyd, Seb Pacquet
Blogspotting -- Stephen Baker and Heather Green
TechCrunch -- TechCrunch
New Voices

Allied -- Jeneane Sessum
quoteunquote -- Anil Bawa
Small Worlds -- David Gutelius
Blogaholics -- Arieanna Foley
Purse Lip Square Jaw -- Anne Galloway
Emily Chang -- Emily Chang
Strong Voices

Conversations with Dina -- Dina Mehta
Software Only -- Jeff Clavier
My Dog II -- Marc Eisenstadt
Read/WriteWeb -- Richard McManus
Micropersuasion -- Steve Rubel
The Obvious -- Euan Semple
Transparent Bundles -- Seth Goldstein
Plasticbag.org -- Tom Coates
shirky.com -- Clay Shirky
Pressthink -- Jay Rosen
Marc's Voice -- Marc Canter
Doc Searls Weblog -- Doc Searls
Andy Lark -- Andy Lark
Ed Batista -- Ed Batista
Halley's Comments -- Halley Suitt
Ross Mayfield's Weblog -- Ross Mayfield
Crossroad Dispatches -- Evelyn Rodriguez
Life With Alacrity -- Christopher Allen
Chocolate and Vodka -- Suw Charman
Due Diligence -- Tim Oren
BuzzMachine -- Jeff Jarvis
Joi Ito's Web -- Joi Ito
zephoria ipseity -- danah boyd
Memoria Technica -- Gary Turner
Joho -- David Weinberger
Daily Habit -- Don Park
Strange Attractor -- Suw Charman
ARCHIVES

web20logog.gif Subscribe with Bloglines


This is my Google PageRank™ - SmE Rank free service Powered by Scriptme
Blog Tags
instant+messaging
social+architecture
social+tools
social+media
collaboration
real+time
social+networks
blogging
social+tools
social+software
web+2.0
media
tags
technorati
In the Pipeline: Don't miss Derek Lowe's excellent commentary on drug discovery and the pharma industry in general at In the Pipeline


Get Real
August 13, 2004
Dvorak Dismisses Disruptive TechnologyEmail This EntryPrint This Entry
Posted by Stowe Boyd

Over at IdeaFlow, Leslie Martinich has stumbled over another hunk-of-junk idea promulgated by self-styled social critic and genius, John Dvorak. His newest craziness is to dis Clay Christensen (The Innovator's Dilemma) and the idea of disruptive technology in general:

Leslie Martinich
[from Disruptive? Radical? Discontinuous?]

John Dvorak in "The Myth of Disruptive Technology" calls the "concept of disruptive technology" "the biggest crock of the new millennium."

He claims that "There is no such thing as a disruptive technology."

I grant that much has been made of disruptive technology, but I disagree with Dvorak's claim.

I consider the work done in this field in the last 5 years to be useful in conveying information to folks who might not have spent much time studying history. Innovations (new technologies) change (or disrupt) the way people do things. And they change (or disrupt) the way businesses operate.

And leaders are better off if they understand the dynamics of technology and change.

Other terms used to describe the same phenomena include "discontinuous" or "radical" innovations. And we can find the same sorts of dynamics at work, whether we use one term or another. There is plenty of wonderful research on this topic, starting perhaps with Schumpeter, with the even scarier term, "creative destruction."

The term "disruptive" has some intimidating connotations. Perhaps it serves to catch the eye of the business leader who did not read economic history to notice what happened with moveable type, the telegraph, and 18th century navigation aids.

Leslie is far too nice to state the obvious which is that Dvorak is an idiot. It is pellucidly obvious that technologies -- like the invention of the internal combustion engine or the written word -- are disruptive. They overturn the established order -- political systems, markets, social systems -- in unpredictable ways.

This is the same guy who I had the go around with last year on his dismissal of instant messaging, where he stated

"The always-on notion has led to the creation of numerous IM networks. Some analysts have even predicted the future of business would depend on IM. But why do we need to know when somebody is online? Just to say hi? Direct computer-to-computer links like IM are channels for future problems."
This led to an interesting email exchange, culminating in his relenting, basically recanting his nonsense, but not until he attempted to suggest that since I used the term "value proposition" in our conversation I was a clueless toad:
"to tell you the truth these VC phrases such as "value proposition" -- which is a completely meaningless phrase -- do nothing to help your argument.

combining these two words is nothing less than silly

I'm guessing that what you mean to use is "worth" as in I don't understand the worth of IM. This may be true. Or possibly I do understand it and reject it anyway. But instead of saying it simply you use the condescending language of Silicon Valley 20-something bullshitters trying to sound important. So how can I take this seriously?

To which I replied:

""Value proposition" is a well-understood marketing and management term, and my using it does not make me a bullshitter, 20-something or otherwise.

"Value proposition - 1. The unique added value an organization offers customers through their operations." [Carla O'Dell & C.Jackson Grayson]. "Value proposition: A clear, simple statement resulting from a set of very disciplined choices describing what a customer can expect from us in the way of goods and services (including quality, timeliness and innovation) and the price that customer is willing to pay." - Weyerhauser. Although I was applying the concept to a technology, the concept is the same.

I wasn't -- and still am not -- trying to be condescending, although I maintain that you don't agree with the (dare I say it) value proposition for IM."

So this is a guy with a history of trying to make his deadline by asking himself "what obviously important idea or trend can I dis now?" and thereby making his trollish readers happy. But when confronted -- which Renee is too highly-principled to do -- his arguments dissolve into mush: empty semantic arguments about adjectives not agreeing with nouns, or the like. He is the Jerry Springer of technology pundits.

So when he argues that the concept of disruptive technologies is spurious, it's just another case of backward-looking, venal, rabid anti-trendism -- a classic enemy of the future:

John Dvorak

One problem in our society is the increasing popularity of false-premise concepts that are blindly used for decision making. The amount of money squandered during the dot-com era because of "paradigm shifts" and "new economies" is staggering. People actually believed that all retailing would be online and that all groceries would be delivered to the home as they were in the 1920s, despite changes that make delivery impractical. Who cares about reality? We have a disruptive technology at work!

The concept of disruptive technology is not the only daft idea floating around to be lapped up obediently by the business community. There are others. But the way these dingbat bromides go unchallenged makes you wonder whether anyone can think independently anymore.

So, based on a logical fallacy -- because someone advanced the idea that a flawed business model was a new paradigm, therefore the idea of "new paradigm" is itself bankrupt -- he is off suggesting (again) that the concept of a "paradigm shift" (as introduced by Thomas Kuhn in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions) is wrong-headed idiocy... I will leave that battle for another day, though.


Category: Social Impacts


COMMENTS
pete on August 14, 2004 12:02 PM writes...

ouch!

Permalink to Comment


TRACKBACKS
TrackBack URL: http://www.corante.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/4110




POST A COMMENT
Name:

Email:

URL:

Comments:

Remember personal info?



EMAIL THIS ENTRY TO A FRIEND
Email this entry to:

Your email address:

Message (optional):




RELATED ENTRIES